WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Worldwide Financial Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva mentioned on Thursday that there’s mounting proof that america can keep away from recession this yr and obtain a “smooth touchdown” for its financial system.
Georgieva instructed reporters that U.S. labor markets stay resilient and client demand stays sturdy regardless of will increase in rates of interest to combat inflation. She mentioned there was a wholesome shift away from extra items purchases, which had pressured costs, again towards providers demand, and there have been extra diversified sources of progress within the financial system.
“It provides some argumentation of an expectation that the U.S. would keep away from falling into recession,” Georgieva mentioned throughout her first information briefing of 2023. “And truly, I might say even whether it is in technical phrases in recession, that can be a really delicate recession.”
She famous that determinations of recessions are usually the topic of intense debate however she mentioned she was leaning towards a soft-landing state of affairs for america.
The IMF in October forecast U.S. GDP progress for 2023 at 1.0%, a projection it is going to replace this month. The World Financial institution on Tuesday forecast U.S. progress at 0.5% for 2023.